In 2021, the Italian GDP will grow by 6.2%, the result of the rebound after the annus horribilis of the pandemic and the reforms of the Draghi government, while for next year the increase has been reduced to 4%, down compared to 4 , 4% indicated last July.
The Bank of Italy has revised its forecasts on the recovery in our country.
2022 may not be a prosperous year for the economy, due to a new increase in infections from Covid-19 and difficulties in global supply chains already evident in this quarter and which could intensify in the coming months.
According to the studies of Via Nazionale, there will also be a jump in inflation , with the new estimates that speak of a + 2.8% against the 1.3% indicated only six months ago. Codacons has already quantified increases of up to over 1,100 euros for each family.
For the current year, the new forecasts on the high cost of living go from 1.5% to 1.9%, while in 2023 and 2024 there will be a slowdown to 1.5 and 1.7% respectively.
The ECB's inflation estimates are also pessimistic, with the fourth consecutive rise in forecasts, almost doubled for 2022 to 3.2% from the 1.7% indicated only three months ago, again due to the surge in prices of the power.
Instead, the growth estimates for 2023 have been revised upwards, which will see growth to 2.5% (previous forecasts were 2.3%). The scenario, however, points out Bank of Italy, remains "heavily dependent on the hypotheses on the evolution of the pandemic and on the effects of the support measures".
(Unioneonline / F)