The Meloni Government presents the new National Plan in the event of a pandemic, sending the document to the State-Regions Conference.
The new plan recognizes the use of vaccines but not as the only means of contrast and provides for restrictions on personal freedom (such as lockdown) only in the face of an "exceptional pandemic".
The novelty is that these measures will be implemented without resorting to Dpcm: "The use of administrative acts for the adoption of any measure that could be coercive of personal freedom or compressive of civil and social rights is excluded. Temporary, extraordinary and exceptional measures can only be provided for with laws or acts having the force of law and in compliance with constitutional principles".
CONTROVERSY – The new plan, however, raises political controversy. «As far as we know, the draft provides for the use of vaccines and lockdown in the event of a serious pandemic emergency . Of course, the right had to exclude the use of the dpcm , to avoid copying and pasting the anti-Covid measures even at an administrative level, but as far as the health and social aspects are concerned, the plan faithfully follows what the Conte government did during the pandemic», attacks the 5 Star Movement . Adding: «We are happy that at the moment when it was necessary to protect the health of citizens , science defeated the anti-scientific propaganda so dear to this right . It took years of insults, accusations and imaginative conspiracies, but in the end they proved us right».
THE PLAN – In detail, the Pandemic Plan presented foresees, as a “worst case” scenario, up to 3 million hospitalizations and over 360 thousand people requiring intensive care.
The Plan hypothesizes three risk scenarios: two due to influenza viruses and considered more probable and the so-called worst-case, the worst possible scenario, unlikely but which cannot be excluded in the preparation phase for risk management.
Here's what the three scenarios predict.
1) “MILD” EMERGENCY - In the case of a pandemic caused by an influenza virus characterized by “mild” pathogenicity, hospitalizations could range from 18,882 to 47,809, while intensive care admissions could range from 2,259 to 5,737. As for the burden on the health service, at the peak of the contagion curve, between 1,950 and 22,953 beds could be needed for ordinary hospitalizations and between 234 and 2,754 intensive care places.
2) MEDIUM EMERGENCY – The intermediate scenario, linked to an influenza virus characterized by "moderate" pathogenicity, hypothesizes from 103,522 to 262,948 hospitalizations and from 12,423 to 31,554 accesses to therapy. At the peak, a need is expected between 10,728 and 126,242 beds for ordinary hospitalizations and between 1,287 and 15,149 in intensive care.
3) SERIOUS EMERGENCY - Finally, the worst-case scenario, which the Plan associates with a coronavirus characterized by "serious" pathogenicity. In this case, total hospitalizations could range from 570,715 to 3,047,150 and intensive care admissions from 68,697 to 366,787. At the peak, between 20,986 and 2 million beds could be needed for ordinary hospitalizations and between 2,779 and 269 thousand in intensive care. The peak of intensive care beds during the Covid 19 pandemic was recorded on April 3, 2020, when 4,068 people were hospitalized in intensive care.
The simulations, the Plan specifies, take into account only the characteristics of a possible pathogen and not other factors that may influence its spread. "Therefore, the data are only indicative and must be interpreted with extreme caution."
(Unioneonline/lf)
