The number of deaths caused by Sars-Cov-2 in Italy are not overestimated, on the contrary, "in general, deaths from Covid have always been underestimated." So on TV Andrea Crisanti, full professor of microbiology at the University of Padua, on the subject to the hypothesis that the high number of deaths linked to the pandemic in Italy is due to a wrong calculation, which would indicate Covid as the primary cause even if the subject died, as a positive, for other reasons.
“I am quite familiar with Val Seriana, in Lombardy - continued Crisanti - where 2,500 deaths from Covid were recorded in the first wave, when instead the excess mortality was 6,500. People should think before saying nonsense. "
The claim that more than 50% of Covid deaths were actually killed by other health conditions, Crisanti specifies, "not possible from a statistical point of view".
"The majority of Covid deaths - he explains - concern people aged 80-85; the probability of a person of this age to die, within a day, is one in a thousand. The incidence of positives in that class. of age is 4 per thousand ". Thus, "the probability that a person in that age group will die from causes unrelated to Covid and, at the same time, be 'accidentally' infected with Sars-Cov-2 is 4 in a million. Multiplying it by 2.5 million. of the 80-85 year-olds we have in Italy, we would reach 10 people a day ".
(Unioneonline / vl)